Calculating NatGold™’s Intrinsic Value – a New Paradigm in Gold Valuation

Calculating NatGold™’s Intrinsic Value – a New Paradigm in Gold Valuation

Executive Summary

In an era increasingly focused on sustainability and environmental stewardship, NatGold™ introduces a transformative approach to gold valuation that aligns with ESG principles. Authored by Jason Williams, an expert with extensive experience in finance and economics, this white paper explores the intrinsic value of NatGold. By comparing the cost structures and market prices of traditional gold production to the innovative model of NatGold, this analysis provides a rational basis for establishing a minimum intrinsic price valuation rooted in logical analysis and industry benchmarks. This document proposes a novel methodology that recalibrates the understanding of gold’s value, shifting focus from physical extraction to digital tokenization of certified gold resources.

About the Author

Jason Williams, in addition to post-graduate work at Harvard Business School, graduated cum laude from the University of Baltimore’s internationally accredited Merrick School of Business, where he studied finance and economics. Jason started his career working for the U.S. military, helping to design and analyze complex financial projects. Following that, he worked on Wall Street as an investment banking analyst for Morgan Stanley. Today, he works as an independent financial analyst with Angel Publishing, based in Baltimore.

Introduction to NatGold’s Valuation Framework

The traditional gold market, with its extensive environmental footprint and significant operational costs, is ripe for transformation. NatGold’s approach redefines the valuation of gold by emphasizing its certified existence rather than the feasibility of its extraction. This white paper outlines the methodological framework used to assess the intrinsic value of NatGold, leveraging industry standards and public data to contrast traditional production costs against the innovative model of digital mining.

Logical Intrinsic Value Analysis in the Context of Gold

The International NatGold Council has developed a methodology for intrinsic price valuation that utilizes public data and industry standards. This methodology hinges on a comparison between the average global cost of gold production and its market price, thus highlighting the intrinsic profitability—or inherent value—of gold still in the ground.

Calculating Production Costs

The All-In Sustaining Cost (AISC) is a comprehensive metric used to reflect the full cost encountered by gold mining companies to mine, refine, and market one Troy ounce of gold. Defined by the World Gold Council, the AISC includes costs necessary to maintain gold production, making it a crucial benchmark for assessing the economic sustainability of mining operations. Updated quarterly, the AISC provides a dynamic insight into the evolving expense landscape of gold production.

Above Ground Market Price Reference

This valuation metric is derived from the latest daily average price for a Troy ounce of gold, as sourced from the London Bullion Market Association and principal markets like the NYMEX spot gold price. This provides a real-time snapshot of gold’s market valuation, essential for comparative analysis.

Intrinsic Price Value Baseline: Redefining Gold Valuation

The traditional concept of intrinsic value in gold mining focuses on the profitability that remains after covering the costs of physical extraction. By employing the 90-day All-In Sustaining Cost (AISC) of US$1,342 for Q4, 2023, and contrasting it with a hypothetical market price of US$2,200 per ounce, we uncover an intrinsic profit of $858 per ounce. This figure traditionally represents the direct financial benefit of mining and processing each ounce of gold, which is contingent upon the extraction costs.

However, NatGold introduces a transformative perspective on this calculation. By eliminating the need for physical extraction, the entire concept of ‘cost’ is redefined. The $858 per ounce no longer represents mere profit after expenses but rather a baseline value of the gold still in the ground—free from the economic and environmental costs of mining. This baseline intrinsic value establishes a more genuine valuation for gold, reflecting its pure, unextracted worth.

NatGold’s Value Proposition: ESG Integration and Premium Potential

In the NatGold model, the intrinsic value of gold is not just a theoretical calculation—it is a practical, realizable value that does not necessitate the environmental and social disruptions typically associated with traditional gold mining. This ESG-friendly, digital approach to mining allows NatGold to position itself uniquely in the market as a sustainable alternative.

Given the growing global emphasis on sustainability, NatGold is poised to capture not only the intrinsic in-ground value of the gold but potentially command a significant ESG premium. This premium reflects the additional value that markets are increasingly willing to assign to commodities obtained in environmentally and socially responsible ways.

The intrinsic in-ground value serves as a stable baseline, but the potential market valuation of NatGold could far exceed this baseline due to its alignment with ESG principles. Investors and consumers are showing a marked preference for sustainable and ethically sourced products, which suggests that NatGold, as a ESG-friendly digital monetary asset could attract a premium well above traditional gold. 

Conclusion

The NatGold tokenization model redefines the value of gold, focusing on preservation over extraction. This approach not only aligns with global sustainability goals but also presents a stable and responsible investment alternative. By safeguarding the physical and social environments associated with gold resources, NatGold sets a new standard for unlocking gold’s monetary utility, propelling us towards a future where certified gold resources are digitally mined rather than physically extracted.

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FAQs

How is the baseline intrinsic value of NatGold calculated?2024-05-18T12:55:00+00:00

How is the baseline intrinsic value of NatGold calculated?

The baseline intrinsic value of NatGold is calculated using a global per ounce average profit comparative methodology developed by the International NatGold Council. This method assesses the profit potential of NatGold by comparing the global average cost of gold production, as indicated by the All-In Sustaining Cost (AISC), against the current market price of gold. This approach provides a robust framework for establishing the minimum intrinsic value of NatGold coins, emphasizing their potential profitability in the global market.

Calculating Production Costs: The All-In Sustaining Cost (AISC) is used as a key metric in this comparison. AISC is a global weighted average calculated quarterly by the World Gold Council, based on the reported costs of each publicly reporting mining company for that period. This figure reflects the comprehensive cost faced by publicly reporting gold mining companies to mine, refine, and market one Troy ounce of gold.

Above Ground Market Price Reference: The market price used in this calculation is derived from the latest daily average price for a Troy ounce of gold, as reported by authoritative sources like the London Bullion Market Association and the NYMEX spot gold price.

Intrinsic Price Value Baseline: For example, employing a 90-day AISC of US$1,342 for Q4, 2023, and a hypothetical market price of US$2,200 per ounce, the intrinsic profitability is calculated by subtracting the most recent quarterly global weighted average AISC from the market price. In this instance, the average global profit would be $858 per ounce. This serves as the baseline intrinsic value of gold before the expenditure of US$1,342 to physically extract the gold via traditional mining methods.

NatGold’s approach diverges from traditional practices by focusing exclusively on digital mining certified gold resources in an ESG-friendly way. Essentially, the intrinsic baseline value of an ounce of NatGold is theoretically equal to the average per ounce profit realized by global gold producers, which is calculated by subtracting the average global cost of extraction from the prevailing market price of gold.

This positions NatGold as a sustainable crypto-commodity, capable of attracting a significant ESG premium, potentially even surpassing traditional gold’s market value as global sustainability awareness increases. This valuation transcends conventional production cost-profit analyses, advocating for NatGold’s price to be independently determined by its own merits as a sustainable and innovative financial asset.

What is NatGold Legislation?2024-05-03T15:22:03+00:00

NatGold legislation, often referred to as natural gold or green gold legislation, is designed to amend and expand current mining laws to provide a sustainable alternative to the traditional, production-centric mining model. It enables entities within the conventional mining legal framework to convert their exploration or exploitation titles into NatGold titles. Once a title is transitioned into a NatGold mining title, it obtains a form of perpetual protection, making it exempt from production permits. Instead, these titles become eligible for tokenization, allowing them to be exchanged for NatGold coins. This innovative approach aims to preserve natural resources while still leveraging their economic value, aligning with modern environmental and sustainability goals.

Why are NI 43-101 Technical Reports automatically accepted by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) under Regulation S-K 1300, whereas technical reports from other nations are not?2024-04-20T23:32:08+00:00

NI 43-101 Technical Reports are automatically accepted by the SEC under Regulation S-K 1300 due to their strict adherence to the regulation’s rigorous standards, which prioritize detailed, transparent, and reliable disclosures of mineral resources and reserves. These reports are developed by the Canadian Securities Administrators and set a high standard for the public disclosure of scientific and technical information concerning mineral projects. This includes stringent requirements for the qualifications and responsibilities of “Qualified Persons” who verify the reports, ensuring that the disclosed information is both accurate and verifiable.

In contrast, reports from other standards like JORC (Australia) or SAMREC (South Africa) might require additional reconciliation to align with S-K 1300. While these standards are internationally aligned to the CRIRSCO templates, which share common core definitions and guidelines with S-K 1300, they often have slight variations in definitions and reporting criteria. These differences mean that technical reports from these and other non-Canadian jurisdictions may need to demonstrate their compliance with S-K 1300’s specific requirements through detailed reconciliation, making them not automatically acceptable like NI 43-101 reports.

What is the International NatGold Council?2024-04-20T23:26:47+00:00

The International NatGold Council, initially known as the International Green Gold Council, was founded in December 2023 in Geneva, Switzerland, by New York-based OroEx Corp. as a Swiss commercial foundation.

Structured as an independent governing body, the Council functions separately from industry participants, including its founding entity, OroEx Corp. Its Board of Directors consists of an exceptionally experienced and diverse team of individuals with international expertise.

What is the Committee for Mineral Reserves International Reporting Standards (CRIRSCO) and what role does it play in standardizing global mining reporting practices. 2024-04-20T23:31:27+00:00

The Committee for Mineral Reserves International Reporting Standards (CRIRSCO) is a pivotal non-profit organization dedicated to harmonizing global mining reporting practices. It comprises representatives from National Reporting Organizations (NROs) from various countries, including Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, and South Africa. CRIRSCO provides the International Reporting Template (IRT), a framework that aligns national and regional standards into a globally recognized guideline, ensuring consistency and comparability in the reporting of mineral estimates, resources, and reserves worldwide.

Although CRIRSCO doesn’t have a central physical headquarters, it operates through its member organizations spread across these countries. This template aids in maintaining transparency and reliability in public reporting, which is crucial for investor trust and regulatory effectiveness in the mining sector. CRIRSCO’s international collaborations and its endorsement by global entities underline its significant role in shaping mining standards globally.